cheaper per correct
premium / correct
cheaper / correct
break-even accuracy

Sticker price vs the price of a result

Each model priced two ways: the raw cost per call, and the effective cost once you divide by accuracy to pay for the retries. The "retries" column is one over the accuracy — how many attempts it takes on average to land one good answer. The cheapest-per-correct row is highlighted; it is not always the cheapest sticker.

Model$/callAccuracyAttempts/correct$/correctMonthly

How much accuracy the cheaper model needs

The cheaper model's effective cost at a range of accuracies, against the premium model's fixed cost per correct. The row where they cross is the break-even accuracy — above it the cheaper model wins, below it its retries make it the pricier choice.

Cheaper accuracyCheaper $/correctPremium $/correctWinner

The discount that costs you money

Every model-selection dashboard sorts by price per million tokens, and every one of them is answering the wrong question. The cost that lands on your bill is not the cost of a call, it is the cost of a call you can actually use — and the moment your task has a right and a wrong answer, those two numbers come apart. A model that is 30% cheaper per call but ten points less accurate is not 30% cheaper; once you retry or throw away its mistakes, you are buying more attempts per usable result, and the arithmetic can flip the ranking entirely. The fix is one division: take the cost of an attempt and divide it by the probability the attempt is good, and compare models on that. The break-even this calculator prints is the whole decision in a single number — the accuracy a cheaper model has to clear before its discount is real rather than a tax you pay in retries. This assumes you can tell right from wrong and simply re-run the failures, which is exactly the situation when you have a test suite, a verifier, or human review; if bad answers ship undetected the cheap model is worse still, because now you also pay the cost of being wrong downstream. Price a single call first with the token cost calculator, compare raw model prices on the model comparison page, and if you are chaining calls into an agent, size the full-task token burn with the AI agent cost calculator.

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